Never been a meaningful correlation between shot attempts & puck possession. Poor proxy. Shot attempts are valuable but don’t = possession.
— Mike Kelly (@MikeKellyNHL) June 7, 2016
Here you go, Mike, you old stocky codger.
That is meaningful.
Puck Possession
Re-examining Fenwick and Playoff Success
Pavel Datsyuk and the best Fenwick team in recent history lifted the Cup in 2008
Image from Dan4th Nicholas via Wikimedia Commons
Back in April of 2013, Chris Boyle presented his study of the relationship between a team’s Fenwick percentage in close-score situations and their eventual success in the Stanley Cup playoffs. Since then, there’s been two Stanley Cup playoffs played. Also the previous 2007-08 start point for shot attempt data was extended two years backwards thanks to War on Ice. All told, it’s an another four seasons of data added to the five Boyle examined.
Worth another look, in my opinion.
Hockey Graphs 