The relationship between competition and observed results is real and it’s spectacular

Raw Comp Impact

Abstract

There has been much work over the years looking at the impact of competition on player performance in the NHL. Prompted by Garret Hohl’s recent look at the topic, I wanted to look at little deeper at the obvious linear relationship between Quality of Competition and observed performance.

The results are a mathematical relationship between competition and observed, which could provide insight into player performance over short time frames. In the long run, the conclusions drawn by Eric Tulsky still hold. The impacts of facing normally distributed Quality of Competition (QoC) will wash out the effects over time. But this should not preclude consideration and even adjustments for QoC when looking at smaller sample sizes.

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